Based on May 2008 polls; McCain Wins, 283-255

There is an Electoral College calculator here http://www.opinionjournal.com/ecc/calculator.htm

I ran the tool off of the latest polls from all the battleground states, and McCain won. In this scenario, Obama picks up Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, and Virginia, while McCain picks up Wisconsin, Michigan, and New Hampshire. The other 44 contests mirror 2004.

Quite surprising. Less than 6 months to go.

Flip Virginia, Wisconsin, and Michigan- which all seem out of whack in these current polls, and we have a 269-269 tie. Trivia Question: How would that end? Trivia Answer: With the House electing Obama.